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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 18 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - O for Orwellian

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SITREP 584 is 60 pages and a full report.

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UPDATED: Washington D.C. Flash Report 18JAN24 13:15 PST - Continuing Resolution Passes the Senate and What's Next

FACTS:

Update: The continuing resolution passed the House, 314 to 108. 106 Republicans and two Democrats voted against the CR. it moves to President Biden's desk.

The U.S. Senate has passed the Continuing Resolution that will fund the U.S. government through early March. The parts of the government that were supposed to shut down on January 20 will be funded until March 1, and the remainder, including the Department of Defense, w...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 17 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - If the USA Figures Out Aid to Ukraine, Russia Will Have Big Problems

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SITREP 583 is 63 pages and a full report.

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report 17JAN24 13:15 PST - Russia has a Bashkortostan Problem

Despite -20 C weather and multiple arrests of activists on Tuesday, up to 10,000 protesters turned out to support activist Fail Alsynov in the Russian city of Baymak in the Republic of Bashkortostan.

The Ministry of Internal Affairs, Rosgvardia OMON and SOBR forces, and the FSB struggled to control the crowd, which threw snowballs and ice. Russian security forces responded with riot batons and teargas in an attempt to disrupt the crowd.

Environmental activist Alsynov was arrested ...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 16 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - Russian Forces Suffer Catastrophic Losses Near Avdiivka

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SITREP 582 is 68 pages and a full report. 111 footnotes - a lot was going on.

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Special Report: Majority of Ships Attacked by Houthis Have No Israeli Connection

Since November 19, Houthi militants supported by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) have pirated, attempted to board, or fired missiles and drones at 17 cargo vessels, claiming the maritime disruption was in support of Hamas by targeting Israeli-owned ships and ships sailing to Israel. Over the weekend, the Houthis expanded the attacks to include vessels owned by the United States and the United Kingdom due to air and missile strikes on militant positions in northern Yemen.

An analy...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 15 JAN 2024 21:00 PST - Europe Prepares For War Without The United States

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SITREP 581 is 43 pages and combat only.

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Iran-United States Flash Report 15JAN24 01:30 PST - SRBMs Strike Erbil, Iraq

The northern Iraqi city of Erbil, which is the capital of Kurdistan Region of Iraq, was hit by up to five ballistic missiles with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) taking direct credit for the attack.

The international airport and the U.S. consulate were the targets with both hit. CENTCOM has reported no casualties at the U.S. Consulate.

This comes hours after the United States owned and Panamanian flagged Gibraltar Eagle, owned by Eagle Bulk Shipping, was hit by a Houthi ant...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 14 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - Ukraine Shoots Down Rare Russian Airplane

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SITREP 580 is 53 pages and combat only.

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 12 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - We Have A Lot of Questions

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SITREP 579 is 63 pages and a full report.

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 11 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - It's Quiet - Almost Too Quiet

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SITREP 578 is 59 pages and a full report.

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 10 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - No Missile or Drone Strikes and Limited Russian Attacks

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SITREP 577 is 52 pages and a full report.

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Russia-Ukraine War Special Report - 10 JAN 2024 - RIP Russian Fall/Winter Offensive

We've been noting in the Situation Reports for almost two weeks that something is amiss with the Russian offensive, and after a lot of analysis, all signs point to the end of the 2023 Russian fall/winter offensive. The operation started on October 6, with shaping operations beginning earlier, and ended on January 1. The Russian fall/winter offensive lasted about as long as the 2023 Ukrainian summer offensive. 

The number and intensity of Russian attacks have declined signif...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 09 JAN 2024 23:30 PST - Ukraine Makes Small But Critical Gains

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SITREP 576 is 53 pages and a full report.

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 08 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - Just Hitting Enter

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SITREP 575 is 51 pages and a full report.

What's Happening

Major wind storm - ...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 07 JAN 2024 23:55 PST - Ukraine Continues To Holds Its Defensive

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SITREP 574 is 51 pages and a full report.

What's Happening - Podcast Script is in Kyiv! Let's hope...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 05 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - We Don't Get It

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SITREP 573 is 58 pages and a full report.

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 04 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - U.S. Signals Military Aid For Ukraine Will Be Reduced

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SITREP 572 is 54 pages, combat only.

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report 04JAN24 17:00 PST - North Korea is Supplying SRBMs to Russia

Earlier today, United States National Security Council Coordinator for Strategic Communications, John Kirby, released declassified information accusing North Korea of supplying Russia with Kn-23 short-range ballistic missiles and launch vehicles. The claim was made hours after the U.S. news agency The Wall Street Journal ran a story that Russia had received North Korean SRBMs and was negotiating with Iran.

The first incident was in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast on December 30, with the missil...

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Updated: Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 03 JAN 2024 23:45 PST - Ukraine Stabilizes Defense Lines, But For How Long

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SITREP 571 is 60 pages and is a full report.

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Israel-Hamas War Flash Report 03JAN24 17:40 PST - A Round Up

Israel vs Hezbollah

Once again, there is a lot of digital ink being used, suggesting that Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah are on the brink of war. We continue to monitor the situation in Israel and the Gaza Strip (and the West Bank, Lebanon, Egypt, Iran, Yemen, Red Sea, Egypt).

In our assessment, nothing has changed. The external saber-rattling between Israeli and Hezbollah leaders is meant for internal audiences. Fundamentally, Hezbollah isn't interested in a war with Israel, and...

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Housekeeping 03JAN24 16:50 PST - Maybe Summary Report Tomorrow

Been public with my health journey. My ultrasound for my heart was originally scheduled for March (yikes). That got bumped to mid-January and I found out about 45 minutes ago it will be tomorrow.

The procedure itself won't delay anything for me but depending on the outcome, it's in the realm of possibility I'm told do not pass Go, do not collect $200, we have a hospital bed for you. I had a really rough New Year's Day.

So to set expectations - expect a summary report for 04JAN24 b...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report 03JAN24 16:40 PST - Winter is Coming

EDIT: Year corrected to 2024.

We know a lot of readers skim/skip the weather section in the SITREPs, but the forecast models deserve special attention.

My journey into journalism started in 2015, and the name Malcontent News was originally Malcontentment Tango in 2016 as a bit of a joke. This all started with weather forecasts and meteorology and, in 2019, became news. I've always been a weather nerd, and I was born a decade too soon. Had I been born ten years la...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 02 JAN 2024 22:45 PST - Another Massive Missile Attack

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SITREP 570 is 47 pages, covering January 1 - 2, 2024, and is a full report.

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report 30DEC23 17:15 PST - Battle Damage Assessment Suggests Russia Fired on Belgorod

I know - day off - it isn't World War III, but this is a big story.

On the morning of December 30, Belgorod time, the city was rocked by a series of explosions. At first, it appeared to be from a drone attack. As videos became available, it was clearly a rocket attack. What wasn't clear was if the explosions were from air defense missile debris and intercepted missile debris or an unanswered strike. The damage was more consistent with smaller unitary warheads. Antiaircraft missiles use ...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 29 DEC 2023 23:59* PST - Zelenskyy Goes to Avdiivka

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SITREP 569 is 64 pages long and the last full SITREP for 2023.

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report 29DEC23 15:30 PST - A Lot of Updates

A lot is going on today. Here is what we know at this hour.

LLS Novocherkassk Update

A letter allegedly from Russian officials is circulating that claims 74 sailors and contractors were killed and another 27 wounded in the missile strike on the Project-775 Large Landing Ship (LLS) Novocherkassk on December 26. This aligns closely with our excellent source on all things Black Sea Fleet, who shared with us on December 26 that there were 94 causalities. We cannot verify the documen...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 28 DEC 2023 23:59* PST - Largest Missile Attack Ever Leaves Dozens Dead and Wounded

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SITREP 568 is 45 pages long and combat only.

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 27 DEC 2023 23:59* PST - Ukrainian POWs Executed

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SITREP 567 is 72 pages long.

Today's SITREP contains a detailed account of wa...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 24-26 DEC 2023 23:55 PST - Storm Shadow Missiles Strike Occupied Feodosia

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SITREP 566 is 61 pages long.

What's Happening

What's the big story? A lot...

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