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ALL ACCESS - March Dynasty Rankings

With a little over a month left in the regular season (and the fantasy playoffs in full swing), I'm back with another dynasty rankings update.

As always, there are two tabs - one ranking set is for CATEGORIES leagues and the other is for POINTS leagues. Make sure you are looking at that the correct tab.

I am planning to do at least one more in-season dynasty rankings update before the end of the regular season and a lot more of my focus will be on expanding and refining my 2024 NB...

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ALL ACCESS - 2024 NBA Draft Big Board - March Update

My NBA Draft Big Board is back...and it's a lot bigger.

The new board covers 50+ prospects for the 2024 NBA Draft, their fantasy projections, rookie draft tiers, and advanced statistics.

This "bad draft" is going to produce a lot of fantasy talent and these big boards are going to give you a massive edge over your league.

A few important notes:

* Matas Buzelis and Ron Holland have moved up based on their sample sizes increasing since January - which allowed me to focus...

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ALL ACCESS - 2024 NBA Draft Big Board (February Update)

Back again with another NBA Draft Big Board.

Like prior versions, this board uses my battle-tested method for projecting fantasy stat sets (and overall NBA performance) for the consensus top prospects in the 2024 NBA Draft.

The points league Fantasy Point Projections are based on per-70 possession statistics - so they give you a level-playing field perspective on what kind of points league producers these prospects would play if they had the same playing time.

The category l...

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ALL ACCESS - BETA - NBA Dynasty Trade Calculators

The #1 piece of content that gets requested in dynasty fantasy basketball circles is a viable trade calculator. 

Well, we're making it happen. And you all get to be the very first people to beta test it.

Two separate DYNASTY trade calculators for categories and points leagues with trade values based on my latest dynasty rankings.

To use the calculator, you will need to either go to File/Make a Copy (if you have a Google account) or File/Download. This w...

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ALL ACCESS - Post-Trade Deadline Dynasty Rankings

The NBA Trade Deadline was only 24 hours ago - but I'm back with a full rankings update.

It was not the most exciting deadline, but there's plenty of changes from a dynasty perspective. I'm going to try to do a podcast next week to talk through some of the big shifts but feel free to ask questions below in the comments.

-Matt

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ALL ACCESS PREVIEW - 2024 NBA Offseason Roster Projections

The NBA trade deadline is tomorrow.

In preparation, I've assembled a board with all 30 NBA teams roster projections for the 2024 offseason. The main objective here is to assess the contract status of every rostered NBA player and where opportunities for more minutes and larger roles may arise.

A few quick notes:

* In most cases, I assume that unrestricted free agents are not returning to their current teams. Some of the major free agents (Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby, etc.) are...

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2024 WNBA Roster and Minutes Projections

We're into Day 3 of official WNBA free agency and most of the  free agents are off the board. 

The final landing spots for former WNBA MVPs Nneka Ogwumike and Elena Delle Donne will shake things up again - but here are my current projections for all 12 WNBA rosters.

I started my first WNBA Dynasty league last season and may start another in 2024. If you have interest in joining a Patreon-only dynasty league for the W - let me know!

-Matt

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ALL ACCESS - February Dynasty Rankings

The NBA Trade Deadline is one week away - which will decimate these rankings - but that hasn't stopped me from doing a full update for all of you.


Less movement in this one than in some prior versions as player performances start to settle in now that we're halfway through the season - but there are a few BIG changes.


I'll be back with a post-trade deadline update next week - my favorite update of the year.


If you have questions, please post ...

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ALL ACCESS - 2021 and 2022 Pre-Draft Big Boards

I'm digging back into my archives to find content that I created before the 2021 and 2022 NBA Drafts - before we knew where these prospects would be selected, before Summer League, and when my dynasty takes were freshest.

The big takeaway? Assessing fantasy stat sets based on pre-draft statistics can give us a huge advantage in dynasty. We found A LOT of the gems in these classes if you look at players who were assessed as having the best fantasy games.

The 2021 pre-draft top 10 a...

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ALL ACCESS - 2024 NBA Draft Big Board (January 25, 2024)

After previewing my big board in December, I'm back with an update. My top 30 prospects for the 2024 NBA Draft and it is LOADED with advanced stats and fantasy projections.

A few important notes:

* I've placed the players into tiers based on their expected draft capital. It matters (A LOT) where a player is drafted in the draft order to determine what kind of opportunities, minutes, and role the prospect likely gets in the NBA. So while Zach Edey has the best per-possession fantas...

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ALL ACCESS - Industry Consensus Dynasty Rankings (January 2024)

The dynasty community is stronger than ever. This month, I've collected FIFTEEN (15!) different categories dynasty rankings sets that have been updated in the last month and aggregated them into an industry consensus ranking.

Like last month, the categories consensus includes the high and low rankings for each player, as well as the difference between my ranking and the consensus (the "DIFF" column).

And NEW this month: I've compiled my points dynasty rankings with two other point...

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ALL ACCESS - January Dynasty Rankings

It's been a couple weeks since my last rankings update - and this latest one is a big one.

I'm starting to add in 2024 draft prospects into my rankings for the first time. And this update includes rough value approximations for the consensus top 5 picks (Sarr, Topic, Risacher, Walter, and Williams). 

I'll be adding in other top 10 prospects like Dillingham, Buzelis, Holland, and Sheppard in my next update - but you can see how I felt about them back in Big Board preview.

<...

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ALL ACCESS - NBA Dynasty ADP Database

The first content that I ever created was Dynasty ADP during the 19-20 NBA season before the Bubble. I was in dozens of dynasty leagues and found it so frustrating that there was no objective measure of player value for managers to use...so I made it myself.

I've been collecting ADP data ever since - and now I've even gone back to collect dynasty startup draft data from the 2017, 2018, and 2019 offseasons to give a full picture of how player values change over time.

There is SO mu...

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ALL ACCESS - Industry Consensus Dynasty Rankings (Categories - January 2024)

In the last month, six different industry analysts have updated their dynasty rankings for categories leagues (including me). 

I've compiled all of those rankings into an industry average so you can get a broader view of how players are being valued in dynasty formats.

A couple additional features here:

* I've included the highest and lowest rank for each player - so you can see the range of opinions on each player.

* The "DIFF" column shows how MY ranking varies ...

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ALL ACCESS - December Dynasty Rankings Update (12-30-23)

Happy New Year!

Here is my final dynasty rankings update of 2023 for both Categories and Points formats (note the two different tabs).

The "Change" column shows how much players have moved since my update earlier this month.

Please post any questions below in the comments.

-Matt

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ALL ACCESS - NBA Depth Charts (12/17/23)

Here are updated depth charts and rest-of-season minutes projections for all 30 NBA teams. 

Hoping to do another dynasty rankings update in the next 10 days.

Thanks for your continued support and please post any questions in the comments below.

-Matt

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ALL ACCESS - Eastern Conference Depth Charts

Here are depth charts for all 15 Eastern Conference teams with minutes projections and an outline of where players fall in the team's rotation. 

These depth charts do not take into account short-term injuries that players will return from this season - they are meant to show how teams value players if the rotation was fully healthy.

I'm going to turn to the Western Conference next and try to do regular updates to this as the season goes on.

Have a great weekend.

-...

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - December 13 2023📈

Quick report with the lines that caught my eye across the NBA, G League, and college basketball.

Have a question about any of these prospects? Post it in the comments below and I'll respond.

📈NBA Prospect Lines of the Night📈

Coby White

27 PTS | 5-10 3PT | 4 REB | 8 AST | 1 STL | 3-5 2PT | 6-6 FT | 35 MIN

Austin Reaves

22 PTS | 4-7 3PT | 5 REB | 8 AST | 3-7 2PT | 4-5 FT | 32 MIN

Dereck Li...

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ALL ACCESS - 2024 NBA Draft Big Board Preview

I've spent the last two weeks digging into the 2024 NBA Draft class and I've returned with some big takeaways.

First, a couple warnings: 

-SMALL SAMPLE SIZE WARNING. We are VERY early in the process - the sample size is small and the college prospects have played a majority of their games against inferior competition. I usually see that college prospects' fantasy projections dip as the season goes on, so be cautious not to overvalue early season numbers from ...

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ALL ACCESS - December Dynasty Rankings (v. 1.0)

It's been a little over three weeks since my last dynasty rankings update, so here is a full refresh for all players on all 30 teams.

Please remember there are two tabs. One for categories leagues (9-category H2H, roto) and one for points leagues (e.g. Sleeper leagues).

Also, the "change" column shows the difference between my rankings before the season compared to now. 

I've updated every player photo but there's still a lot more work ...

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 27 2023📈

Scoot Henderson is back. The Magic’s young stars shined, and Victor Wembanyama is everything we hoped for and more.

8 games on Sunday.

A full breakdown of all the top prospect performances AND the top lines from last night in the G League.

If you enjoy these reports, please give them a “like” so I know you’re reading them. Given how much time they take me to write, I want to be sure they’re worth your time and attention.

2023-11-27 17:24:48 +0000 UTC View Post

📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 26 2023📈

Six NBA games on Saturday.

Plus, a huge slate of G League games including some big performances from the 2024 NBA Draft prospects on the G League Ignite.

PHI 127 @ OKC 123

🔸Remember the pre-draft discourse about how Chet Holmgren would get broken in half against centers like Joel Embiid? 33 PTS | 5-11 3PT | 6 REB | 2 AST | 3 BLK | 8-10 2PT | 2-2 FT in 32 minutes....

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 25 2023📈

10 games on Friday and some massive prospect performances.

And don’t make sure to check out the top lines from Friday’s G League slate.

BOS 96 @ ORL 113

🔸Paolo Banchero (23 PTS | 2-6 3PT | 7 REB | 5 AST | 8-10 2PT | 1-2 FT | 35 MIN) started slow this season but is now taking a big step forward in Year 2. He’s improved his efficiency at all three levels - es...

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 24 2023📈

A belated Happy Thanksgiving to all.

With no NBA games on Thursday, here’s a breakdown of the top prospects’ performances from the huge 14-game slate on Wednesday. PLUS, all the notable lines from Wednesday’s G League games.

WAS 114 @ CHA 117

🔸Mark Williams with 11 PTS, 15 REB and 3 BLK in 35 minutes - we knew that he’d have big rebound and block numbers ...

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 22 2023📈

5 games on Tuesday.

In-depth analysis on 22 top NBA prospects.

Plus, the top G League stat lines.


TOR 107 @ ORL 126

Paolo Banchero

25 PTS | 2-3 3PT | 5 REB | 3 AST | 1 BLK | 8-17 2PT | 3-3 FT | 32 MIN

🔸Paolo’s on-ball role and usage have skyrocketed back up to the same levels as his rookie season in November and the...

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 21 2023📈

8 games on Monday.

In-depth analysis on 35 top NBA prospects.

PLUS: the most interesting stat lines from last night’s G League games.

DEN 107 @ DET 103

Cade Cunningham

27 PTS | 2-4 3PT | 2 REB | 9 AST | 3 STL | 1 BLK | 5-13 2PT | 11-11 FT | 38 MIN

🔸The defensive playmaking AND getting to the line for 11 free throws? This is th...

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 20 2023📈

9 games on Sunday.

Let’s dig in deep on 46 of the NBA’s top prospects.

PHI 121 @ BKN 99

Jaden Springer

10 PTS | 2-4 3PT | 5 REB | 2 AST | 1-2 2PT | 2-2 FT | 21 MIN

🔸After falling out of the rotation at the start of the month, Springer has come roaring back with three straight games with 20+ minutes. 87th percentile in Defensive EP...

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 10 2023📈

Let’s dig into the two games from Thursday night.

MIL 124 @ IND 126

Bennedict Mathurin

26 PTS | 3-7 3PT | 11 REB | 2 AST | 1 STL | 1 BLK | 6-11 2PT | 5-6 FT | 36 MIN

🔸After looking timid from the perimeter, Mathurin has launched 14 threes in his last two games (7-14, 50%) and showed nice shot versatility in this one with some pull-up and ...

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ALL ACCESS - November Dynasty Rankings Update (version 1.0)

It's here! 

I've spent the last week working into the night on a rankings update for all 30 teams. The focus here was updating my career-peak projections based on what we saw across the preseason and the first 2.5 weeks of the regular season.

Please remember there are two tabs. One for categories leagues and one for points.

This is version 1.0 of my November update. I'll be back by the end of the month with a fresh update that will incorporate all of th...

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📈The NBA Dynasty Report - November 4 2023📈

Working on my first in-season dynasty rankings update of the year so today’s report will be quick hits on each of last night’s seven games.

CLE 116 @ IND 121

🔸Seven STL+BLK from Evan Mobley, he dominated at the rim (7-9), and he at ...

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